Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.638090 0.796424 0.965865 1.158800 1.370662 1.594682 1.847980
2025-02-16 0.438947 0.658952 0.915083 1.226426 1.587010 1.985078 2.451825
2025-02-23 0.316959 0.557819 0.857777 1.239800 1.697932 2.217187 2.838965
2025-03-02 0.203351 0.439922 0.759389 1.187297 1.718761 2.336464 3.090528
2025-03-09 0.120330 0.339321 0.664277 1.122806 1.711771 2.412183 3.281833
2025-03-16 0.070460 0.271753 0.601474 1.089678 1.735195 2.517498 3.502065
2025-03-23 0.046576 0.240668 0.585577 1.114709 1.828587 2.704783 3.817362
2025-03-30 0.026268 0.205372 0.557034 1.117969 1.890869 2.851813 4.082859
2025-04-06 0.010508 0.165616 0.513885 1.095475 1.915853 2.950115 4.287568
2025-04-13 0.005784 0.156019 0.521069 1.145495 2.036697 3.167909 4.637350
2025-04-20 0.002679 0.147405 0.528381 1.194807 2.156116 3.383735 4.984782
2025-04-27 0.001127 0.143233 0.543214 1.255156 2.290422 3.618492 5.355681
2025-05-04 0.000527 0.146628 0.576142 1.348883 2.478049 3.930523 5.833799
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.138960 0.586025 1.407348 2.618758 4.185087 6.244410
2025-05-18 NaN 0.121506 0.571987 1.425925 2.702604 4.365540 6.562220
2025-05-25 NaN 0.087771 0.513373 1.368145 2.676671 4.402659 6.700800
2025-06-01 NaN 0.057929 0.451663 1.298814 2.630062 4.409817 6.799408
2025-06-08 NaN 0.039875 0.412225 1.262892 2.628255 4.472991 6.965819
2025-06-15 NaN 0.034021 0.408699 1.289996 2.718416 4.657598 7.285619
2025-06-22 NaN 0.025894 0.393038 1.293513 2.772849 4.794256 7.544394
2025-06-29 NaN 0.016317 0.363837 1.269185 2.784165 4.872354 7.728020
2025-07-06 NaN 0.015618 0.375533 1.323265 2.914167 5.110219 8.115981
2025-07-13 NaN 0.014890 0.386783 1.376500 3.043005 5.346711 8.502468